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Showing posts from June, 2023

BUFFET vs SPY - Discussion about what to do in the possible upcoming recession

AndrĂ© -  Hi all, I missed the end of the meeting yesterday (May 6). Attached is the material intended to present (see link on Presentations page of iShare site ). Many of us ask: what you we do given the possible upcoming recession? Should we get out of the market and wait it out? The problem with getting out and waiting is one of timing: when to get in again? For those who prefer to invest in broad ETFs like the US SPY, an alternative might be a conglomerate like Buffet's (as his successor) BRK stock. This stock represents ongoing widely diversified businesses which keep generating income during recessions, and therefore are less sensitive to the 'herd mentality' wild panic swings of ETF's like SPY. Attached is a comparative total return spreadsheet of SPY vs BRK over 20,10,5,3 and 1 year. BRKk closely mimics SPY over long periods, but it shines during major recession, like the 2002/2002 and 2007/2008 recessions (orange columns on the chart) . Note also tha...